PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfg4w

0xf562ae39715a7eedcc39d208158d5f416bff8459

Realised P&L
$-15.20
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$3.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Bucks (-7.5) · Wizards0.8000.790$3.97−$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$9.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 7? · No0.9920.000$0.00−$8.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 08:21Spread: Bucks (-7.5)BUY0.8$4.02
10-17 15:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17?BUY0.95$9.23
10-13 00:45Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 13?BUY0.996$5.23
10-09 12:49Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.998$14.20
10-07 08:45Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.943$7.99
09-26 15:03Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 28.5BUY0.96$4.98
09-04 15:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 6?BUY0.997$2.5k
07-13 02:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 14?BUY0.965$7.97
07-07 14:06WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 7?BUY0.992$8.63
07-04 12:14Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 5?BUY0.988$9.27
06-26 16:20Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)BUY0.985$6.83
06-15 12:31Spread: Jordan (-3.5)BUY0.999$10.99
06-11 00:53Spread: Haiti (-2.5)BUY0.987$6.51
06-06 02:41Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8?BUY0.97$12.10
05-25 12:09Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?BUY0.987$17.67