dfg4w
0xf562ae39715a7eedcc39d208158d5f416bff8459
- Realised P&L
- $-15.20
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bucks (-7.5) · Wizards | 0.800 | 0.790 | $3.97 | −$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.23 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 7? · No | 0.992 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.84at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?
- +$0.61at 0.952WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?
- +$0.46at 0.946Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 7?
- +$0.43at 0.952Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 8?
- +$0.36at 0.971Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:21 | Spread: Bucks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $4.02 |
| 10-17 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.23 |
| 10-13 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.23 |
| 10-09 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.20 |
| 10-07 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.943 | $7.99 |
| 09-26 15:03 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 28.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $4.98 |
| 09-04 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.5k |
| 07-13 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.965 | $7.97 |
| 07-07 14:06 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 7? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.63 |
| 07-04 12:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.27 |
| 06-26 16:20 | Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $6.83 |
| 06-15 12:31 | Spread: Jordan (-3.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 06-11 00:53 | Spread: Haiti (-2.5) | BUY | 0.987 | $6.51 |
| 06-06 02:41 | Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.10 |
| 05-25 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26? | BUY | 0.987 | $17.67 |