dagakusen
0xf54f796980f9723f2c93608547f6a29201eae62c
- Realised P&L
- $-52.90
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $6.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.49at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?
- +$4.50at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?
- +$3.98at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?
- +$3.71at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?
- +$2.66at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9369999869 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7839999561 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 21:43 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.42 |
| 07-01 16:00 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 15:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 06-30 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.04 |
| 06-30 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.08 |