PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dagakusen

0xf54f796980f9723f2c93608547f6a29201eae62c

Realised P&L
$-52.90
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$6.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-15 06:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16?BUY0.91$1.00
10-15 06:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 16?BUY0.9369999869$1.00
10-15 06:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 16?BUY0.91$1.00
10-14 14:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.92$1.00
10-14 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?BUY0.9$1.00
10-14 14:00Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 16?BUY0.95$1.00
10-12 15:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.74$1.00
07-28 15:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7839999561$1.00
07-05 21:43Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.024$0.42
07-01 16:00Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
07-01 15:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.85$2.00
06-30 12:05Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 30?SELL0.999$1.03
06-30 12:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 30?SELL0.998$1.04
06-30 12:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?SELL0.998$1.08