PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf5465f6289c969a992c80c1476f9790df1f1c5e7

Realised P&L
$-189.76
Volume
$184.9k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$3.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$3.00$3.00
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on June 23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$11.00
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00$21.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.2470.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:18Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$9.00
07-31 17:16Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
07-31 17:07Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
07-31 17:01Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 16:50Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
07-13 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETSELL0.47$1.07
07-13 15:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETBUY0.4399998064$1.00
07-13 15:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETSELL0.48$1.11
07-13 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00
07-13 15:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETSELL0.5$1.06
07-13 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-13 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETSELL0.48$1.14
07-13 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETBUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-13 15:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETSELL0.62$1.26
07-13 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00