0xf5465f6289c969a992c80c1476f9790df1f1c5e7
- Realised P&L
- $-189.76
- Volume
- $184.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.49at 0.462Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.56at 0.590Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.51at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$1.30at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 07-31 17:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 17:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 17:01 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:50 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.07 |
| 07-13 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.11 |
| 07-13 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.06 |
| 07-13 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.14 |
| 07-13 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.26 |
| 07-13 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |