0xf5465f6289c969a992c80c1476f9790df1f1c5e7
- Realised P&L
- $-202.75
- Volume
- $219.9k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $26.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.339Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.42at 0.473Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.41at 0.603Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.20at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$0.98at 0.533Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:44 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 18:10 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 18:08 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 18:08 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 18:03 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 18:00 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 17:57 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:40 | Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:39 | Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:39 | Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:38 | Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:35 | Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |