PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

StevenSmith1724

0xf5289763a5b57084d78e2e33fd1af2714efc4441

Realised P&L
$-457.40
Volume
$241.8k
Markets traded
319
Open portfolio
$172.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded319
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.7200.270$61.29$102.15
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · No0.9301.000$60.00+$4.20
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6600.080$27.60$200.10
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.5650.365$17.52$9.60
Named storm forms before hurricane season? · No0.5601.000$4.00+$1.76
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7900.220$1.98$5.13
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00$1.44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$0.09
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.5800.000$0.00$0.58
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? · No0.3200.000$0.00$0.32
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.12
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$0.69
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$163.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.21
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$7.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 09:13Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.899$24.27
04-21 04:36Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.898$22.45
02-08 19:11Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.41$2.05
01-11 07:46Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.7$26.60
01-11 07:40Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.14$36.82
01-11 05:20Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.17$44.71
01-11 04:10Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.69$627.90
01-11 02:57Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.69$654.12
01-11 02:25Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.66$211.20
01-11 02:22Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.14$66.64
01-11 01:53Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?BUY0.89$149.52
01-11 01:52Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.17$80.92
01-11 01:39Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.26$13.52
01-11 00:45Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?SELL0.725$188.50
01-10 18:55Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.66$211.20