0xf5183756a0be58aa0b0960f1e2d2451894b631d5
- Realised P&L
- $500.90
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.012Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$1.1kat 0.033Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$91.81at 0.018Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$90.21at 0.263Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$30.99at 0.498Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 10:23 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.502 | $2.51 |
| 04-21 19:12 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9897596043 | $474.30 |
| 04-17 12:11 | Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.986 | $200.84 |
| 04-13 23:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 04-13 23:12 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 04-13 03:14 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 04-13 03:14 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 04-13 03:14 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 04-13 03:14 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 04-13 03:14 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |