PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf5183756a0be58aa0b0960f1e2d2451894b631d5

Realised P&L
$500.90
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.999$2.4k+$2.4k
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.999$923.56+$923.56
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.998$492.31+$492.31
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.991$489.98+$489.98
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.925$448.05+$448.05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$408.46+$7.71
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.999$389.42+$389.42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.090$384.70+$384.70
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.0000.999$304.55+$304.55
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3870.625$289.80+$110.43
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0000.375$222.39+$222.39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0000.910$175.02+$175.02
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7820.695$153.34$19.18
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8200.745$131.89$13.28
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.0000.950$128.88+$128.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 10:23Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.502$2.51
04-21 19:12Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.9897596043$474.30
04-17 12:11Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY0.986$200.84
04-13 23:12US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.51$510.00
04-13 23:12Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00
04-13 03:14Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00
04-13 03:14Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00
04-13 03:14Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00
04-13 03:14Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00
04-13 03:14Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$275.00