PolyBot

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Traders

election5100

0xf516087a8919e6af47770f114436a31728d06f6f

Realised P&L
$138.47
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$799.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10? · No0.9991.000$265.95+$0.13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9710.972$194.30+$0.10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9790.988$148.13+$1.23
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.9520.946$104.06−$0.66
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9570.964$39.52+$0.27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.8300.825$24.75−$0.15
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9430.947$22.81+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 02:58Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.952$104.72
10-10 02:58Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?BUY0.943$22.73
10-10 02:56Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.971$194.20
10-10 02:54Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.999$265.81
10-10 02:48Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.83$24.90
09-30 07:20Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.9573902439$39.25
09-30 07:18Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in September?BUY0.999$94.22
09-30 07:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.978$48.90
09-30 07:14Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?BUY0.9937202$49.69
09-30 07:13Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be under 5.3?BUY0.999$99.90
09-30 07:10Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?BUY0.97$29.10
09-30 04:00Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September?BUY0.999$44.95
09-30 04:00Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September?BUY0.999$154.42
09-30 03:58Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?BUY0.999$92.75
09-30 03:54Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in September?BUY0.999$231.02