0xF514389157B74172edC26bA950C2f5B8436507cD-1785299447999
0xf514389157b74172edc26ba950c2f5b8436507cd
- Realised P&L
- $-351.18
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $59.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.30at 0.477Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?
- +$163.62at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
- +$2.62at 0.737Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?
- +$-5.89at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?
- +$-9.38at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $13.14 |
| 08-03 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2355609798 | $55.49 |
| 08-03 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7766798239 | $51.16 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7368316381 | $48.54 |
| 08-02 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5591620112 | $100.09 |
| 08-02 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.5386945044 | $89.79 |
| 08-02 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5460674157 | $194.40 |
| 08-02 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0850449532 | $31.69 |
| 08-01 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7675149306 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 22:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6595408053 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5409803922 | $55.18 |
| 08-01 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5367523256 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $150.56 |
| 08-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.5714931507 | $41.72 |