0xF514389157B74172edC26bA950C2f5B8436507cD-1785299447999
0xf514389157b74172edc26ba950c2f5b8436507cd
- Realised P&L
- $-165.80
- Volume
- $80.1k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $195.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.44at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 23?
- +$230.59at 0.066Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 21?
- +$227.87at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?
- +$216.73at 0.192Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?
- +$174.16at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.35 |
| 09-18 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2043293886 | $8.29 |
| 09-18 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0920742487 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 22:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0799133381 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1266268017 | $14.00 |
| 09-18 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5942920765 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.4061955934 | $67.66 |
| 09-18 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.042644 | $2.13 |
| 09-17 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6003304747 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.25 | $26.32 |
| 09-17 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.6067347015 | $161.42 |
| 09-15 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3019480511 | $30.00 |