PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf50Fd89431Df96fC5D9ac24B1e208EE88cee676E-1774265600709

0xf50fd89431df96fc5d9ac24b1e208ee88cee676e

Realised P&L
$-1.36
Volume
$222.30
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$23.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.938$16.88−$0.04
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8200.970$6.79+$1.05
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1520.037$0.28−$0.84
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0560.002$0.03−$0.98
Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$4.80
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No0.4150.000$0.00−$2.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-01 07:22Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
05-01 07:17Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.58$1.74
05-01 07:17SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.38$1.14
05-01 07:17Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.82$5.74
05-01 07:17Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.69$3.45
05-01 07:17Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1518644068$1.12
05-01 07:17Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.23$1.15
05-01 05:59Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.999$5.00
04-27 09:33Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.51$1.53
04-27 09:33SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.45$1.35
04-26 09:00Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
04-26 06:28Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$16.92
04-26 06:28Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.056$1.01
04-26 03:55Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?BUY0.05$0.92
04-22 06:40No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?BUY0.959$4.79