0xf4ff5ccdff78efe6837f08f323666003a52021e4
0xf4ff5ccdff78efe6837f08f323666003a52021e4
- Realised P&L
- $-370.03
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$129.25 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.21 | −$70.66 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$1.29 |
| Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$17.69 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$11.96 |
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.66at 0.474Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
- +$240.30at 0.502Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$113.45at 0.779Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage
- +$99.88at 0.798St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$89.29at 0.310Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:41 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.78 |
| 09-24 20:27 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.17 | $70.87 |
| 09-24 20:27 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.23 | $113.62 |
| 09-24 20:27 | Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.14 | $16.80 |
| 09-24 20:21 | Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-24 20:17 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.16 | $12.00 |
| 09-24 20:12 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3 | $141.36 |
| 09-24 20:04 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.65 | $157.59 |
| 09-24 19:51 | Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio | BUY | 0.0699999993 | $4.92 |
| 09-24 19:50 | Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio | BUY | 0.179326851 | $79.92 |
| 09-24 19:39 | Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch | BUY | 0.46 | $222.18 |
| 09-24 19:23 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.49 | $236.67 |
| 09-24 19:19 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2699999921 | $3.41 |
| 09-24 19:19 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2474999988 | $33.00 |
| 09-24 19:19 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2670596631 | $93.09 |