0xF4F57bE7950a201bd6bc77dF36DC62294e79C77c-1757377977061
0xf4f57be7950a201bd6bc77df36dc62294e79c77c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $70.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $70.03 | −$118.63 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$465.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-404.76at 0.065Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$-417.99at 0.097Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 18:31 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 03-06 01:11 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.42 |
| 03-06 01:11 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $12.49 |
| 03-06 01:10 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 11-28 12:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.29 |
| 11-27 09:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.027 | $162.00 |
| 11-27 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.02 | $152.21 |