0xF4f180DZZ2C12a4aE8bc25f9dFCbF7A5a190eCeA
0xf4f180dbb2c12a4ae9ab25f5dfcbf7a5a190ecea
- Realised P&L
- $276.10
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 557
- Open portfolio
- $453.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded557
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.95at 0.464Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?
- +$29.08at 0.801Will Seoul have 100mm or more of precipitation in July?
- +$28.41at 0.034Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?
- +$27.72at 0.555Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in June?
- +$23.70at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.946 | $5.68 |
| 08-04 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.9478684211 | $72.04 |
| 08-04 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.40 |
| 08-03 09:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 08-03 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.63 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-03 07:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 08-03 07:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-03 06:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 08-03 06:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-03 06:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.965 | $9.65 |
| 08-03 01:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |