0xF4f180DZZ2C12a4aE8bc25f9dFCbF7A5a190eCeA
0xf4f180dbb2c12a4ae9ab25f5dfcbf7a5a190ecea
- Realised P&L
- $267.86
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 649
- Open portfolio
- $490.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded649
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.24at 0.474Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?
- +$28.36at 0.036Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?
- +$27.84at 0.808Will Seoul have 100mm or more of precipitation in July?
- +$26.94at 0.563Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in June?
- +$23.49at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:17 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.408 | $5.71 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.388 | $20.18 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? | BUY | 0.301 | $19.56 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? | BUY | 0.105 | $6.30 |
| 09-15 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 09-15 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-15 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 09-15 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.80 |
| 09-15 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-15 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |