Decentralised
0xf4ee04dbcb66425b8090346a2ea4ceff5277e1ac
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $130.3k
- Markets traded
- 569
- Open portfolio
- $809.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded569
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.684 | $300.96 | −$42.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.585 | $241.37 | −$51.06 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.666 | 0.685 | $121.98 | +$3.40 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.425 | $42.50 | −$18.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.380 | $38.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.855 | $29.13 | −$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.255 | $25.50 | −$9.50 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.130 | $10.40 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.68at 0.470Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$347.30at 0.804US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$296.76at 0.230Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
- +$279.89at 0.250Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
- +$265.50at 0.147Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 19:01 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8606698821 | $64.24 |
| 08-17 19:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.17 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.2425 | $4.85 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.235 | $9.40 |
| 07-31 18:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $40.80 |
| 07-31 18:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.6640548138 | $18.90 |
| 07-30 20:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.50 |
| 07-27 20:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $44.93 |
| 07-27 14:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.0020440708 | $0.93 |
| 07-27 14:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.92 |
| 07-27 12:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.58 | $38.30 |
| 07-24 20:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.96 |
| 07-22 20:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.9333851595 | $67.30 |