PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Decentralised

0xf4ee04dbcb66425b8090346a2ea4ceff5277e1ac

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$130.3k
Markets traded
569
Open portfolio
$809.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded569
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7800.684$300.96$42.44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7090.585$241.37$51.06
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6660.685$121.98+$3.40
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.425$42.50$18.50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.380$38.00$13.00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.855$29.13$0.17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.255$25.50$9.50
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.130$10.40+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.04$2.00
08-20 19:01Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8606698821$64.24
08-17 19:44Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$4.17
07-31 18:51Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1?BUY0.2425$4.85
07-31 18:51Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1?BUY0.24$1.20
07-31 18:51Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1?BUY0.235$9.40
07-31 18:50Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1?BUY0.68$40.80
07-31 18:50Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1?BUY0.6640548138$18.90
07-30 20:27Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 31?BUY0.75$6.50
07-27 20:33Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28?BUY0.95$44.93
07-27 14:35Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 27?BUY0.0020440708$0.93
07-27 14:00Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 27?SELL0.38$6.92
07-27 12:59Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27?SELL0.58$38.30
07-24 20:28Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 25?BUY0.94$9.96
07-22 20:23Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 23?BUY0.9333851595$67.30