Decentralised
0xf4ee04dbcb66425b8090346a2ea4ceff5277e1ac
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $132.8k
- Markets traded
- 579
- Open portfolio
- $237.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded579
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.565 | $114.61 | −$23.38 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.195 | $63.96 | −$17.41 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.070 | $16.27 | −$6.97 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.056 | $14.68 | +$0.17 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.040 | $13.24 | −$9.58 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.080 | $8.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.130 | $6.50 | −$19.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.68at 0.470Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$347.30at 0.804US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$296.76at 0.230Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
- +$279.89at 0.250Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
- +$252.00at 0.370Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:38 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 14:27 | Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.077 | $6.94 |
| 10-02 12:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $115.71 |
| 09-25 22:49 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3177142857 | $55.60 |
| 09-25 22:48 | Will Ethena reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7446805235 | $9.67 |
| 09-23 04:24 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $40.40 |
| 09-21 09:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $61.44 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 09-21 06:33 | Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-21 06:33 | Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $23.25 |
| 09-19 21:15 | Will Ethena reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 21:14 | Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0648163374 | $15.88 |