0xf4e95bdf5bfdf9734d9c3508267a8c4e987a5e0a
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.135 | $9.1k | +$434.23 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.403 | $2.4k | −$38.80 |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $100.00 | −$99.81 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:28 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.409 | $2.4k |