PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MannerKno

0xf4e90dfd63fec36a8c62f51f8c0733fc6315245d

Realised P&L
$-140.88
Volume
$470.9k
Markets traded
307
Open portfolio
$9.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded307
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0370.024$5.04$2.73
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0280.011$1.30$2.14
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0090.003$0.76$1.98
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.1730.014$0.56$6.33
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? · Yes0.0200.002$0.39$3.49
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0710.011$0.34$1.80
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0570.036$0.30$0.17
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0270.004$0.18$1.19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes0.0160.002$0.15$1.55
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0210.017$0.11$0.02
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.1360.007$0.10$1.94
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0480.003$0.04$0.68
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0230.002$0.02$0.28
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.07
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$12.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-17 05:15Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$16.31
12-17 04:58Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 04:53Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 04:34Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.064$1.64
12-17 04:23Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.07$2.20
12-17 04:19Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.064$11.18
12-17 04:15Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?BUY0.013$1.11
12-17 04:01Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 03:51Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?BUY0.005$2.06
12-17 03:46Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?BUY0.031$1.55
12-17 03:31Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?BUY0.005$2.06
12-17 03:30Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.07$2.20
12-17 03:23Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.12$14.50
12-17 03:14Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 03:06Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.043$1.09