suchangNB
0xf4dad5104020fd3559e7372d4ed17311a23d16c6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $73.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $17.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.652 | 0.935 | $17.7k | +$5.3k |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.255 | $18.08 | −$5.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.582Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$292.62at 0.670Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$6.17at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$0.10at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$-5.13at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:57 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $23.40 |
| 06-24 08:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 23:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1892251342 | $4.0k |
| 06-11 08:00 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.5743532869 | $2.3k |
| 06-04 03:28 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0959999949 | $15.79 |
| 05-06 11:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5297509671 | $1.6k |
| 04-24 02:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5790436017 | $3.0k |
| 04-24 02:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5679110504 | $2.8k |
| 04-24 02:12 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | SELL | 0.3762763661 | $2.8k |
| 04-23 04:20 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.6553156953 | $4.9k |
| 03-25 02:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.6893614652 | $9.0k |