PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

buddom

0xf4d7ebebded8122cf40b98386cfd0fd1663e8f25

Realised P&L
$-35.96
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$6.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) · Labour0.6860.505$2.21−$0.79
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.026$1.15+$0.15
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.018$0.88−$0.13
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes0.7000.560$0.80−$0.20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.235$0.65−$0.35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1100.069$0.62−$0.38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0680.021$0.30−$0.70
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$0.18−$0.82
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 09:17Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
06-28 09:34Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-27 05:51Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?SELL0.912$5.94
06-27 05:50Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999876$2.00
06-27 05:50Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0459999909$5.00
06-27 05:49Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-18 10:17Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.64$1.00
06-18 10:17Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-14 00:04Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?SELL0.21$0.81
06-14 00:04Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?SELL0.05$0.71
06-13 11:32Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-13 11:31Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-10 11:27Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
06-10 11:26Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-10 11:25Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00