Fredrpa
0xf4cea04bde363dc0f26440d474588d195037865c
- Realised P&L
- $-13.9k
- Volume
- $187.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.011 | $382.11 | −$2.8k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.011 | $372.58 | −$3.6k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.015 | $337.07 | −$2.2k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.025 | $259.52 | −$905.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.015 | $206.31 | −$1.7k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.009 | $176.09 | −$559.86 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.029 | $31.14 | −$63.86 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 11:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 03:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0808137764 | $200.00 |
| 04-07 18:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 08:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $215.00 |
| 03-30 10:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $95.00 |
| 03-27 12:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 03-27 07:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $120.00 |
| 03-24 17:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0835011084 | $260.00 |
| 03-23 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0522334373 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 11:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 03-23 11:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 11:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0722868813 | $200.00 |
| 03-23 07:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0849772752 | $60.00 |
| 03-22 14:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 03-22 07:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0865593103 | $200.00 |