0xf4cd194c97cc6285991ad05afad9bf0efdc423b3
- Realised P&L
- $-13.7k
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $413.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.365 | $219.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.405 | $162.00 | −$14.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$165.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.5kat 0.910Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$-8.0kat 0.860Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 21:14 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.3894736842 | $74.00 |
| 05-08 21:09 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.44 | $145.20 |