PolyBot

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Traders

ether7496

0xf4c8e5625a18b668cb7a00828ae6d58711df7749

Realised P&L
$233.42
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$6.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7100.855$4.28+$0.72
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.4300.400$2.00$0.15
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$1.85
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$1.85
Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$1.50
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00$1.60
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$0.95
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00$1.95
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$2.20
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$1.35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 22:17Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.37$1.85
09-20 21:21Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.68$3.40
09-20 13:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.61$3.05
09-20 02:41Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.04$0.20
09-19 07:12Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.13$0.30
09-19 05:07Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.67$3.35
09-18 13:33Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.53$2.65
09-18 07:09Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.12$0.60
09-18 05:08Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.59$2.95
09-17 07:20Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.95$4.75
09-17 05:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.75$3.75
09-16 23:17Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.4$2.00
09-16 18:00Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.29$1.45
09-16 14:06Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.92$4.60
09-16 08:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.67$3.35