Haimianbaobao
0xf4c57e13a5a29854bbe97f1a7e1dff562d23c8c1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $610.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,285
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No | 0.890 | 0.990 | $1.1k | +$109.05 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.450 | $277.43 | −$213.67 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.165 | $183.15 | +$49.95 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $114.89 | −$38.29 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.100 | $100.93 | −$7.77 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.051 | $89.15 | −$69.59 |
| Slovenia vs. Poland · Poland | 0.850 | 0.995 | $59.70 | +$8.70 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.625 | $6.25 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.26at 0.534Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$399.96at 0.600Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$335.57at 0.187US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
- +$334.67at 0.497Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$333.00at 0.335Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:58 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.17 | $37.74 |
| 09-25 11:42 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.52 | $115.44 |
| 09-25 02:02 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.31 | $68.82 |
| 09-25 00:29 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.71 | $315.24 |
| 09-24 19:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.8178648366 | $227.03 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.7703488372 | $132.50 |
| 09-24 19:06 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.38 |
| 09-24 14:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.80 |
| 09-21 22:13 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $153.18 |
| 09-20 20:46 | Commanders vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.84 | $186.48 |
| 09-20 17:29 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.58 | $64.38 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Browns vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.83 | $184.26 |
| 09-20 17:23 | Saints vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.86 | $190.92 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.8 | $355.20 |
| 09-20 02:57 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $78.81 |