PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Haimianbaobao

0xf4c57e13a5a29854bbe97f1a7e1dff562d23c8c1

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$610.5k
Markets traded
1,285
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,285
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.8900.990$1.1k+$109.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.7960.450$277.43−$213.67
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.165$183.15+$49.95
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4600.345$114.89−$38.29
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1080.100$100.93−$7.77
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.051$89.15−$69.59
Slovenia vs. Poland · Poland0.8500.995$59.70+$8.70
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.625$6.25−$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:58Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.17$37.74
09-25 11:42Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.52$115.44
09-25 02:02Falcons vs. PackersBUY0.31$68.82
09-25 00:29Falcons vs. PackersBUY0.71$315.24
09-24 19:11Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.8178648366$227.03
09-24 19:07Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.7703488372$132.50
09-24 19:06Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.74$4.38
09-24 14:29U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?BUY0.35$9.80
09-21 22:13Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.46$153.18
09-20 20:46Commanders vs. CowboysBUY0.84$186.48
09-20 17:29Bengals vs. TexansBUY0.58$64.38
09-20 17:26Browns vs. BuccaneersBUY0.83$184.26
09-20 17:23Saints vs. RavensBUY0.86$190.92
09-20 13:33Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.8$355.20
09-20 02:57UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.71$78.81