PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

insulano

0xf4c2ba28774076bc9fbcfba9837d4ce25ee75c65

Realised P&L
$99.60
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
879
Open portfolio
$5.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded879
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.4000.998$2.49+$1.49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.9500.997$1.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.3800.385$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.3600.335$0.93$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.4000.002$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-18 11:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-18 02:26Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.94999962$1.00
09-17 23:14Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-17 16:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.4$1.00
09-17 16:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.4$1.00
09-17 10:36Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.98$1.00
09-17 10:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-17 10:34Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
09-17 10:29Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17?BUY0.8599997764$1.00
09-17 00:41Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-16 17:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 16?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-16 17:57Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.829999502$1.00
09-16 12:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16?BUY0.97$1.00
09-16 12:31Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16?BUY0.7199999424$1.00