PolyBot

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Traders

0xf4bf4472dc94c099a5c9a96652c70a80b42ea1bd

Realised P&L
$-115.26
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$17.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7? · Yes0.4700.540$11.55+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7? · Yes0.2700.270$6.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 15:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?BUY0.4699999911$10.05
08-06 10:56Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7?BUY0.2699999698$6.00
08-06 10:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?SELL0.997240096$16.61
08-05 12:49Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-05 12:48Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.076319896$1.17
08-05 10:15Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.3899999638$3.77
08-05 10:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?BUY0.359999976$6.00
08-05 10:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-05 09:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.999$12.29
08-05 04:30Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.1828838445$2.57
08-05 04:30Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.2698887515$2.18
08-05 04:29Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.04$0.61
08-05 00:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-05 00:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.2$0.84
08-04 10:40Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.1809522586$1.00