0xf4bf4472dc94c099a5c9a96652c70a80b42ea1bd
- Realised P&L
- $-115.26
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $17.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.540 | $11.55 | +$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.64at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$12.00at 0.450Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
- +$10.81at 0.480Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- +$10.62at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?
- +$9.21at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4699999911 | $10.05 |
| 08-06 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2699999698 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.997240096 | $16.61 |
| 08-05 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.076319896 | $1.17 |
| 08-05 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3899999638 | $3.77 |
| 08-05 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.359999976 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.29 |
| 08-05 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1828838445 | $2.57 |
| 08-05 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2698887515 | $2.18 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.61 |
| 08-05 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.84 |
| 08-04 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1809522586 | $1.00 |