sohaengineer
0xf4bf4472dc94c099a5c9a96652c70a80b42ea1bd
- Realised P&L
- $-238.08
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $12.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.350 | $5.20 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.320 | $4.41 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.145 | $1.78 | −$0.38 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.088 | $1.56 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.36at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$11.57at 0.465Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
- +$11.02at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?
- +$10.40at 0.495Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- +$10.31at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1759275986 | $2.16 |
| 09-21 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.37 |
| 09-21 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1871320677 | $2.61 |
| 09-21 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3263736214 | $4.50 |
| 09-21 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $5.50 |
| 09-21 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.19 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $1.99 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.50 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3699999821 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-20 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 09-19 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 09-19 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.99 |
| 09-18 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2062230097 | $2.73 |