860b
0xf4bd86eca81b142b0a67997c636ec2f3f889547e
- Realised P&L
- $15.40
- Volume
- $94.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $10.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No | 0.994 | 0.996 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ke'Bryan Hayes win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $2.58 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.93at 0.009Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.34at 0.961Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.81at 0.511Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.52at 0.989Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
- +$0.23at 0.996Ethereum all time high in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 07:26 | Will Solana dip to $40 in June? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 07:26 | Will Solana dip to $30 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.11 |
| 06-17 07:24 | Will Solana dip to $20 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.11 |
| 06-17 07:24 | Will Solana dip to $10 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.34 |
| 06-17 07:24 | Will Solana reach $140 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.83 |
| 06-17 07:23 | Will Solana reach $150 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.08 |
| 06-17 07:23 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.65 |
| 06-17 07:20 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.04 |
| 06-17 07:19 | Will Ke'Bryan Hayes win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.58 |
| 06-17 07:19 | Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 07:18 | Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 07:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.9939999983 | $1.14 |
| 06-17 07:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 06-17 07:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.38 |
| 06-17 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |