lysergic
0xf4bd46f1394a3e3759634f38e68a13207726c685
- Realised P&L
- $-76.26
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,201
- Open portfolio
- $17.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,201
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.47at 0.100Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
- +$65.97at 0.150Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$48.29at 0.189Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
- +$47.38at 0.196Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$28.84at 0.296Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:55 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:55 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:54 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:54 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:54 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:54 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:28 | Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:28 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:17 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:17 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |