PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lysergic

0xf4bd46f1394a3e3759634f38e68a13207726c685

Realised P&L
$-76.26
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
1,201
Open portfolio
$17.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,201
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.9280.925$4.98$0.02
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5200.515$2.97$0.03
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) · 1. FC Union Berlin0.5430.535$2.95$0.05
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5700.565$1.98$0.02
Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Bills0.5401.000$1.85+$0.85
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B · 3DMAX0.6100.605$0.99$0.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · No0.6000.595$0.99$0.01
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire · Portland Fire0.5100.485$0.95$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21? · No0.2270.000$0.00$7.51
Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals? · No0.5460.000$0.00$2.73
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners · Under0.6700.000$0.00$3.35
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.50
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-09? · No0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.0700.000$0.00$2.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:55Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-18 02:55Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BBUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-18 02:54Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-18 02:54Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-18 02:54Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-18 02:54Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-17 19:30Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-17 19:30Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-17 19:29Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 19:29Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-17 19:29Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-17 19:28Washington Mystics vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-17 19:28Spread: Bills (-4.5)BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-17 12:17Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-17 12:17Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ABUY0.5899998466$1.00