johnnyetter416
0xf4b66311c826b11bb7bfc25cc72f8ec4ff153f5a
- Realised P&L
- $-114.82
- Volume
- $69.7k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $244.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $244.12 | +$0.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11PM ET · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10PM ET · Up | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.60at 0.313Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?
- +$78.77at 0.913Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 3?
- +$57.13at 0.940Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 5?
- +$53.43at 0.947Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 6?
- +$20.00at 0.875Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $244.00 |
| 09-19 00:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999998 | $243.00 |
| 09-14 01:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9986361972 | $242.00 |
| 09-08 23:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9989999969 | $241.00 |
| 09-07 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.10 |
| 09-07 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $141.00 |
| 09-07 00:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9989999939 | $141.00 |
| 09-07 00:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 00:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $241.00 |
| 09-03 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $241.00 |
| 08-31 13:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9979999997 | $240.00 |
| 08-27 23:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9979999997 | $240.00 |
| 08-22 04:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $239.00 |
| 08-19 13:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 20? | BUY | 0.993999997 | $236.00 |
| 08-18 01:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.00 |