PolyBot

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Traders

benderrob

0xf4b574c632559609d61abd20a18b1c73ac109cac

Realised P&L
$-80.72
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$3.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2900.130$2.60−$3.20
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0390.018$0.46−$0.54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3700.045$0.24−$1.76
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$21.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$9.50
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$2.00
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$7.20
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$17.50
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:10Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?BUY0.29$5.80
09-10 19:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.35$17.50
03-29 16:07Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.21$21.00
01-20 17:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
01-20 17:56Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-20 17:56Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.022999978$1.00
01-20 17:54Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.24$7.20
01-20 17:53US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.45$4.50
01-20 17:53US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.37$7.40
01-20 17:52US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.19$9.50
06-06 15:50Starmer out in 2025?BUY0.15$3.00
06-06 15:49Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?BUY0.3499999475$3.00
06-06 15:48Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed?BUY0.14999994$2.00
06-06 15:47Is John McAfee alive?BUY0.0346191726$2.00
06-06 15:47Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.2699999681$5.00