jiligala
0xf4abdb528ea701bfc8fbd612b34457a43d38f098
- Realised P&L
- $7.22
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $65.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.103 | $47.15 | −$227.51 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.108 | $18.43 | −$47.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.73at 0.550Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$5.36at 0.986Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$3.64at 0.815Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$3.36at 0.990Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.76at 0.984Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 10:17 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999357 | $1.96 |
| 05-25 07:25 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.20 |
| 05-25 07:25 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $29.51 |
| 03-16 15:02 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.521 | $23.65 |
| 03-16 15:01 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $16.39 |
| 03-16 06:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $373.21 |
| 02-09 02:48 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5698401541 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 08:49 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8809999791 | $40.00 |
| 01-28 08:49 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7159999769 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 08:48 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 08:47 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:46 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.7699998614 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 08:45 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $430.08 |
| 01-28 08:42 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $430.51 |
| 01-28 08:41 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $430.51 |