6cf8
0xf4a9c4e9983256b227e3aff68429160d2e183a6e
- Realised P&L
- $-73.33
- Volume
- $98.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $31.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $26.66 | −$93.33 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.00 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.00 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.00 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.00 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.44at 0.890LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$4.12at 0.006Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?
- +$2.32at 0.978Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.56at 0.611Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.29at 0.943LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 16:47 | Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 09-04 16:47 | Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 16:46 | Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 09-04 16:46 | Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 09-04 16:45 | Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 08-09 18:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9989990402 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 18:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 18:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9989990402 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 18:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 18:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9989990402 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 18:23 | LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 08-09 18:02 | LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9399999922 | $4.80 |
| 06-30 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 06-30 12:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.13 |
| 06-30 12:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |