dobarprognozerlosihrezultata
0xf4a97688ab3af57b8ffa68fc1be221a82e547cd3
- Realised P&L
- $141.76
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.147 | 0.041 | $4.17 | −$10.82 |
| Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.027 | $2.69 | −$7.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.69at 0.322Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$26.53at 0.160Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
- +$20.43at 0.326Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$-1.79at 0.280Raptors vs. Timberwolves
- +$-7.10at 0.250Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 13:48 | Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.1004496316 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 11:00 | Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1473025703 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 23:39 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves | SELL | 0.23 | $8.21 |
| 10-25 23:33 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:48 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.992 | $30.42 |
| 10-25 20:48 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.965 | $155.68 |
| 10-25 20:31 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 10-25 20:30 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | SELL | 0.6414444444 | $28.86 |
| 10-25 09:41 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.325999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 22:20 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2899999977 | $9.00 |
| 10-22 11:23 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 11:23 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.25 |
| 10-22 11:13 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 11:13 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.17 | $9.66 |
| 10-21 19:09 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3299999942 | $12.00 |