PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

binancewa

0xf4a9144af3bced1e82919ca556a625d55c972d63

Realised P&L
$-7.91
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$58.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No0.9990.996$58.79−$0.21
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.7100.000$0.00−$7.10
Timberwolves vs. Jazz · Timberwolves0.8200.000$0.00−$14.20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:50Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$59.00
09-11 07:22Will Solana dip to $10 in September?BUY0.999$59.00
09-11 07:21Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.975$13.45
08-22 06:15Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$46.00
08-05 03:35Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 8?BUY0.997$5.00
08-05 03:35Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7?BUY0.998$3.00
08-05 03:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$4.00
08-05 03:34Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 5?BUY0.998999668$3.00
08-05 03:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8?BUY0.998$5.00
08-05 03:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7?BUY0.999$4.00
08-05 03:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?BUY0.998$3.00
08-05 03:32Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.999$4.00
08-05 03:32Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.997$3.00
08-05 03:32Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
08-05 03:32Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$4.00