binancewa
0xf4a9144af3bced1e82919ca556a625d55c972d63
- Realised P&L
- $-7.91
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $58.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $58.79 | −$0.21 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz · Timberwolves | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.20 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.91at 0.670Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$5.72at 0.710Suns vs. Pistons
- +$3.81at 0.730Bucks vs. Spurs
- +$3.58at 0.770LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
- +$2.93at 0.860Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.00 |
| 09-11 07:22 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.00 |
| 09-11 07:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $13.45 |
| 08-22 06:15 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.00 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 03:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998999668 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 03:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 03:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |