ancientsunset
0xf4a9112a97f0d081a584268b28a42ba6fef9c365
- Realised P&L
- $-174.99
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $29.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.022 | $29.77 | −$141.23 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 20:12 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.1127076604 | $147.00 |
| 01-06 20:12 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | BUY | 0.0179594022 | $150.00 |
| 01-06 06:15 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $24.00 |
| 01-06 06:14 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | BUY | 0.0119717999 | $25.00 |