PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TradingWave

0xf49ce459b52f60b70ce0fe9aa6203e6bf90f9786

Realised P&L
$-167.3k
Volume
$164.00M
Markets traded
404
Open portfolio
$14.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded404
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0330.044$3.7k+$967.23
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0070.026$2.1k+$1.6k
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0360.088$1.3k+$773.98
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1080.028$1.2k$3.4k
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0090.043$1.1k+$894.72
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1800.205$920.84+$112.30
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0190.022$661.18+$100.24
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0220.025$575.29+$69.28
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0190.040$394.97+$204.98
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.2480.036$393.60$2.3k
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0160.018$315.08+$39.67
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0190.133$286.24+$245.19
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0340.053$251.57+$92.25
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0100.026$181.12+$109.30
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0300.081$163.02+$102.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 12:11LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.3660731328$100.00
09-02 09:52Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.008$39.54
08-20 15:21Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.1$327.90
07-15 14:47Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$1.00
07-13 10:02Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.18$696.79
07-09 18:05Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.033$20.79
07-09 18:05Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.033$771.34
07-09 18:04Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$142.86
07-09 18:04Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$385.61
07-09 18:04Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.028$43.06
07-01 17:32Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3$3.5k
07-01 17:05Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY0.22$350.67
07-01 17:03Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$429.75
07-01 17:03Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.38$918.89
06-30 09:18Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.3k