ckwes
0xf49b286a92c51d224979cdce9e95b9abc356b6ab
- Realised P&L
- $-21.96
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $477.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.23at 0.500Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
- +$4.16at 0.500Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
- +$4.12at 0.500Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
- +$4.11at 0.500Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.09at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 09:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.48 |
| 03-03 09:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 09:14 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.39 |
| 03-03 09:13 | Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.897 | $7.62 |
| 03-03 09:12 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 09:11 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 09:10 | USD1 depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |
| 03-03 09:09 | Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.65 |
| 03-03 09:09 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |
| 03-03 09:08 | Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.24 |
| 03-03 09:07 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.16 |
| 03-03 09:05 | Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.82 |
| 03-03 09:05 | Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $8.03 |
| 03-03 09:02 | Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |
| 03-03 09:00 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.07 |