AdjudantD
0xf498b1fbb1f0465e9cbb014088534fef1d8139a1
- Realised P&L
- $-201.30
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $126.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.40at 0.741Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 30?
- +$32.38at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?
- +$19.54at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?
- +$9.32at 0.914Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?
- +$3.60at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1673491836 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1415094313 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1468531427 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1078431369 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1186685381 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3069306852 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2475247525 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0800474355 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2252075738 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2038953722 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2667615057 | $5.00 |