PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AdjudantD

0xf498b1fbb1f0465e9cbb014088534fef1d8139a1

Realised P&L
$-201.30
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$126.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 14:27Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-30 14:27Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.1673491836$5.00
09-30 14:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.1415094313$5.00
09-30 14:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.1468531427$5.00
09-30 14:25Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.1078431369$10.00
09-30 14:24Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.1186685381$5.00
09-30 14:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 1?BUY0.3069306852$5.00
09-30 14:23Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 1?BUY0.2475247525$5.00
09-30 14:22Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
09-30 14:22Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-30 14:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.0800474355$5.00
09-30 14:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-30 14:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.2252075738$5.00
09-30 14:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.2038953722$5.00
09-30 14:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.2667615057$5.00