PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF4702BbE34af3Ce92784FeFE56250D9f169bCbE1-1761911617733

0xf4702bbe34af3ce92784fefe56250d9f169bcbe1

Realised P&L
$376.47
Volume
$146.2k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$69.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6800.670$33.50−$0.50
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$11.50−$1.00
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.335$6.70−$2.50
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026? · No0.5300.290$5.80−$4.80
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0700.065$5.47−$0.42
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes0.0800.085$4.18+$0.25
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.140$1.86−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$16.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET · Down0.3650.000$0.00−$55.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8AM ET · Up0.3180.000$0.00−$41.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10PM ET · Down0.2830.000$0.00−$16.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$128.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3AM ET · Down0.2870.000$0.00−$32.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1PM ET · Down0.4310.000$0.00−$42.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET · Up0.3280.000$0.00−$47.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETSELL0.53$21.20
02-08 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETSELL0.57$21.38
02-08 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETSELL0.41$19.27
02-08 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETBUY0.5705487178$29.58
02-08 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETBUY0.53$25.44
02-08 10:09Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5AM ETBUY0.25$11.00
02-08 09:43Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4AM ETSELL0.05$5.00
02-08 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4AM ETBUY0.2605048986$13.77
02-08 09:04Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4AM ETBUY0.3285036217$32.93
02-08 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETSELL0.97$181.39
02-08 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETBUY0.8$39.20
02-08 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETBUY0.72$36.00
02-08 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETBUY0.7$3.50
02-08 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETBUY0.88$36.08
02-08 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ETSELL0.38$15.96