Vogelzang
0xf464d07221a3c19d04e829cbf3861dcd6ba85076
- Realised P&L
- $318.36
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$759.00at 0.540Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$619.22at 0.396Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
- +$419.52at 0.520Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
- +$393.24at 0.460Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
- +$363.25at 0.560Argentina to score first vs. England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 11:41 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BESTIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A | SELL | 0.7 | $0.59 |
| 08-20 17:50 | Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-20? | SELL | 0.46 | $166.52 |
| 08-20 17:28 | Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-20? | SELL | 0.74 | $34.06 |
| 08-20 14:39 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.55 | $60.50 |
| 08-20 14:37 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-20 14:37 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-12 12:07 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-08-12? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.38 |
| 04-25 08:58 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.117 | $162.32 |
| 04-24 18:48 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.117 | $153.78 |
| 04-24 17:57 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $10.75 |
| 04-24 16:42 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $6.46 |
| 04-24 16:10 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $15.23 |
| 04-24 15:09 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $107.57 |
| 04-24 11:10 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $21.69 |
| 04-24 10:36 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.118 | $107.56 |