Burolen
0xf45d3d7d3694be2c8dfed5f9900809f885508fd0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $174.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $902.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.165 | $733.63 | −$560.95 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.845 | $168.99 | +$23.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$573.98 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$442.57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$761.68 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.37at 0.451Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?
- +$476.91at 0.149Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$452.50at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$398.32at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$358.02at 0.701US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6840055 | $136.80 |
| 05-01 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | SELL | 0.0637940691 | $12.76 |
| 05-01 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3595765925 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 01:56 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | SELL | 0.0040236581 | $6.71 |
| 04-29 16:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 02:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | SELL | 0.003 | $28.81 |
| 04-29 02:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | SELL | 0.0014638398 | $10.54 |
| 04-29 02:02 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $34.96 |
| 04-26 23:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.008 | $55.24 |
| 04-26 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.01 | $92.08 |
| 04-26 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.0251483011 | $184.40 |
| 04-26 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.0361375695 | $184.58 |
| 04-26 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.0756189482 | $185.21 |
| 04-26 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.1059931562 | $185.70 |
| 04-26 23:37 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |