0xf45a77901d22fcc1c4822bbff8ca03744ab6415d
0xf45a77901d22fcc1c4822bbff8ca03744ab6415d
- Realised P&L
- $140.78
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $73.76
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSV win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.235 | $41.13 | +$13.13 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.775 | $32.63 | +$8.63 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.91 |
| Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.53at 0.168Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?
- +$33.29at 0.564Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$31.57at 0.495Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$24.08at 0.302Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$23.79at 0.465Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 17:08 | Will PSV win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 17:07 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 17:03 | Will PSV win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 17:01 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $14.00 |
| 10-19 18:57 | Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:57 | Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Getafe CF O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:56 | Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 18:55 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 14:15 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.2799999965 | $9.47 |
| 10-18 14:14 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.25 |
| 10-18 14:13 | Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 14:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 15:07 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.6799999829 | $9.55 |
| 10-17 15:07 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3599999988 | $11.93 |
| 10-17 15:06 | Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |