PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF458633051AD521Ba5a2Ef7E4E86D76A7a027799-1730813945129

0xf458633051ad521ba5a2ef7e4e86d76a7a027799

Realised P&L
$-104.00
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$8.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 2? · Yes0.0010.001$5.00−$4.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2? · No0.0070.003$3.57−$6.43
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$90.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 2?BUY0.001$10.00
11-01 21:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?BUY0.007$10.00
10-27 14:34Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0285712606$25.00
10-27 14:34Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0671754416$200.00
10-27 14:33Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1699999999$200.00
10-27 14:33Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4706335684$400.00
07-19 21:45Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1099999989$90.00
11-25 16:16Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.0170495071$10.00