meigouhufc
0xf44f95aa55dbc47579e2c75ddc73ed014212bca6
- Realised P&L
- $83.84
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $532.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.905 | $532.88 | −$49.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.60at 0.880Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$44.51at 0.909Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.32at 0.308Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$14.82at 0.960Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$5.20at 0.740Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:36 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9889726549 | $582.00 |
| 09-21 02:35 | Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9958733319 | $456.00 |
| 09-03 05:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9981234913 | $455.50 |
| 09-03 05:22 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.00 |
| 08-22 02:24 | Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $125.00 |
| 08-10 12:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $408.00 |
| 08-10 12:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.00 |
| 07-17 02:56 | Will Solana reach $140 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999988 | $531.00 |
| 07-02 16:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 4? | BUY | 0.9988118996 | $531.00 |
| 06-16 03:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 17? | BUY | 0.9986711761 | $108.00 |
| 06-04 03:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9980758539 | $108.00 |
| 05-27 07:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.9969788209 | $389.30 |
| 05-17 13:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9949999033 | $9.00 |
| 05-15 08:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.998 | $388.00 |
| 05-15 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $259.74 |