PiEDizzy
0xf44df242f2d918e9a663da0bb7e94799ff6b28b8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 7,862
- Open portfolio
- $107.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,862
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.23at 0.542Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$228.94at 0.768Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week?
- +$223.49at 0.441Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
- +$200.15at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6PM ET
- +$186.24at 0.030KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:37 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 14:29 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.75 | $112.50 |
| 10-07 14:29 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week? | SELL | 0.996 | $149.40 |
| 10-07 05:03 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.71 |
| 10-06 14:08 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.8822941176 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 14:08 | KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions | SELL | 0.48 | $13.50 |
| 10-06 13:58 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 10-06 13:56 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $142.50 |
| 10-06 13:38 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-06 13:36 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.817 | $8.17 |
| 10-06 13:31 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-06 13:30 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.818 | $16.36 |
| 10-06 12:17 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-06 09:49 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-06 09:49 | Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.989 | $0.12 |