PolyBot

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Traders

Certify0148

0xf44dcf50490507a44a6244dc07f50686e71060af

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$9.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.945$3.7k+$812.85
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1550.055$2.5k$4.6k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.6210.125$2.1k$8.2k
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4220.255$1.6k$1.0k
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$48.74
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00$496.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 03:03Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?SELL0.8963207861$565.53
07-23 03:02Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.89602595$1.8k
07-13 00:21Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.89$26.51
07-10 06:23Anthropic acquired before 2027?SELL0.9512814412$27.99
07-10 06:22Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.869445287$2.2k
07-08 22:50Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.71$310.27
07-08 18:16GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?SELL0.9546795529$3.1k
07-08 18:00Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.6599505191$1.3k
07-08 17:59Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?SELL0.9614528219$2.3k
07-08 17:58Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?SELL0.9709435318$760.69
07-08 17:58Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?SELL0.9736061134$1.0k
07-08 17:57Anthropic acquired before 2027?SELL0.949$42.52
07-08 17:56Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.6168156028$1.9k
07-08 17:55Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?SELL0.5990864323$35.28
07-08 04:16Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?BUY0.9805555556$88.25