0xf449b7054dB86D5Ad84bf827705B4F212e2D5FA7-1733485156312
0xf449b7054db86d5ad84bf827705b4f212e2d5fa7
- Realised P&L
- $88.49
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $19.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.540 | 0.525 | $6.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $6.54 | −$0.06 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $6.05 | +$0.05 |
| Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi · Michael Mmoh | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
| Will Wieczysta Krakow win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller · Marvin Moeller | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.51at 0.378Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$61.72at 0.001Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
- +$22.00at 0.001Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$21.60at 0.880Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
- +$12.55at 0.638OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:02 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $7.00 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.5199999874 | $6.60 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | Will Wieczysta Krakow win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi | BUY | 0.3799999989 | $6.70 |
| 07-03 06:59 | Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 06:55 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.5 | $4.80 |
| 06-10 18:07 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 07:00 | HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.5099999735 | $5.20 |
| 06-08 06:57 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $6.00 |
| 06-08 06:57 | Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $6.00 |
| 06-08 06:56 | Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 06:56 | Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa | BUY | 0.5199999827 | $6.00 |
| 05-07 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |