saliance
0xf44870db5795d2d5587b9f34fd71d2abc833e370
- Realised P&L
- $-261.30
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$163.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.00at 0.654Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$25.20at 0.595OpenAI browser by October 31?
- +$23.00at 0.630Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$21.00at 0.260Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
- +$18.76at 0.592Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 15:32 | Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.99 |
| 10-29 16:39 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 10-28 16:26 | Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 10-23 21:38 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.80 |
| 10-23 12:45 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.932 | $11.18 |
| 10-23 07:48 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 10-22 14:59 | Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.946 | $50.14 |
| 10-21 15:46 | Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 10-21 15:33 | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.61 |
| 10-19 19:03 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-19 19:03 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-19 18:29 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:28 | Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.6139999885 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:28 | Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.6129999414 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:27 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |