Kuman99
0xf44555cbbc18a7675c52930e1ef65d12e1670828
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $157.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA vs. Maryland · UCLA | 0.530 | 0.525 | $157.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.42at 0.190Solana all time high in Q4?
- +$200.00at 0.200Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$175.86at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$154.50at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$128.57at 0.280Biden drops out in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:50 | UCLA vs. Maryland | BUY | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 09-12 22:46 | Spread: UCLA (-13.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-12 22:45 | Spread: UCLA (-13.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 09-12 22:43 | Spread: UCLA (-13.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $45.90 |
| 09-12 22:35 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0625494909 | $95.90 |
| 07-05 06:18 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 06:13 | Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 06:10 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 06:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 08:40 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 06-29 13:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.3528121053 | $212.88 |
| 06-23 17:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999847 | $14.99 |
| 06-23 17:01 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0349999993 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 15:11 | Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6626143206 | $100.00 |