sdfsdf444
0xf438cffc882df3eb23d53c37608a6f4b8d2a6ed5
- Realised P&L
- $16.04
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$4.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.08at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10?
- +$3.50at 0.985Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.24at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?
- +$1.05at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?
- +$0.77at 0.904Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.91 |
| 09-26 01:39 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 35.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $5.88 |
| 09-04 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 07-06 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.65 |
| 07-04 11:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.955 | $14.58 |
| 06-24 11:57 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.37 |
| 06-18 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-09 12:47 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.39 |
| 06-07 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.986 | $11.75 |
| 06-06 02:42 | Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.29 |
| 05-25 00:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.20 |
| 05-19 00:34 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.9502357143 | $13.30 |
| 05-13 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 05-07 03:05 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 7? | BUY | 0.9617 | $11.54 |
| 04-21 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.60 |