PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sdfsdf444

0xf438cffc882df3eb23d53c37608a6f4b8d2a6ed5

Realised P&L
$16.04
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00−$4.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 15:01Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 7?BUY0.989$5.91
09-26 01:39Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 35.5BUY0.97$5.88
09-04 09:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?BUY0.998$2.5k
07-06 14:58Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?BUY0.98$9.65
07-04 11:57Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 5?BUY0.955$14.58
06-24 11:57WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 24?BUY0.98$16.37
06-18 06:44Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?BUY0.99$9.90
06-09 12:47Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?BUY0.95$11.39
06-07 03:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?BUY0.986$11.75
06-06 02:42Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8?BUY0.97$11.29
05-25 00:58Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?BUY0.9$7.20
05-19 00:34Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.9502357143$13.30
05-13 01:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?BUY0.9$9.90
05-07 03:05WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 7?BUY0.9617$11.54
04-21 02:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 22?BUY0.93$9.60
Trader sdfsdf444 · PolyBot Pro