BigBullet
0xf43768c464d934b2fa36175d49c9cc1a25b44090
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.978 | 0.952 | $1.5k | −$39.13 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.910 | $905.71 | +$105.71 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.854 | 0.945 | $553.42 | +$53.42 |
| Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.989 | 0.975 | $493.09 | −$6.91 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.870 | $52.41 | +$2.41 |
| Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.92at 0.789Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
- +$182.11at 0.938Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
- +$137.73at 0.785Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.74at 0.966Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?
- +$72.05at 0.975Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:07 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.977 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 22:07 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9886700412 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 17:53 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8537844492 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 17:48 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9777555611 | $1000.00 |
| 09-20 17:41 | Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 17:38 | Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.8103505855 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 09:51 | Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.8022106216 | $600.00 |
| 08-06 20:56 | Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? | BUY | 0.9887534226 | $500.00 |
| 08-06 20:55 | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.9929981943 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 21:33 | Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? | BUY | 0.9444617518 | $1000.00 |
| 07-31 21:33 | Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? | BUY | 0.9494573082 | $52.49 |
| 07-26 20:02 | Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? | BUY | 0.9821554811 | $500.00 |
| 07-26 20:00 | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.9781000896 | $500.00 |
| 07-26 19:58 | Will Yan Diomande join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.995 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 23:44 | Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9626208368 | $1000.00 |