0xF430497D92dc057E3C5b2aab603a0Db2057aE6BC-1777132624934
0xf430497d92dc057e3c5b2aab603a0db2057ae6bc
- Realised P&L
- $-399.98
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Markets traded
- 478
- Open portfolio
- $35.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded478
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.98at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?
- +$91.06at 0.317Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?
- +$86.16at 0.215Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?
- +$63.05at 0.501Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?
- +$33.03at 0.159Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.77 |
| 10-02 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0600821763 | $2.12 |
| 10-02 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.86 |
| 10-02 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1261355717 | $3.98 |
| 10-01 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.93 |
| 10-01 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7633159948 | $5.87 |
| 10-01 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2053166667 | $4.93 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.276 | $5.52 |
| 09-30 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.63 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.88 |
| 09-16 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.42 |
| 09-14 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.14288 | $1.43 |
| 09-14 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.2152941176 | $0.73 |