Sayrus2000
0xf4304305dc0d6a88f58979c7ba51cbb16c40030c
- Realised P&L
- $-122.64
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,628
- Open portfolio
- $18.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,628
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.80at 0.230Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-21?
- +$28.93at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$22.40at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$20.81at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$18.15at 0.274Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.13 |
| 08-07 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.18 |
| 08-07 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-07 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.32 |
| 08-07 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.32 |
| 08-07 00:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.21 |
| 08-07 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 08-06 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.55 |
| 08-06 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 08-06 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 07:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.36 |
| 08-05 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.00 |