OO000
0xf4230daecc2e83cadb6f94eccab0cfb31a2bf301
- Realised P&L
- $9.26
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $60.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $30.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $30.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.37at 0.720Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.00at 0.990Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.06at 0.999Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?
- +$0.04at 0.999Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 03:56 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.982 | $102.60 |
| 02-03 04:46 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9849999964 | $102.92 |
| 01-06 06:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.54 |
| 01-06 06:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.00 |
| 12-09 02:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.15 |
| 11-17 04:21 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 11-06 03:24 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.72 | $95.76 |
| 11-04 07:38 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 11-03 06:54 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.21 | $84.00 |